GOAT faithful,
I have been requested to breakdown the following:
La Tech/Auburn (09/05/09)
FSU/Miami (09/07/09)
N. Texas vs BAMA (09/19/09)
First, I must apologize to "Little Tommy Jefferson" as I did not get a chance to breakdown the N. Texas/Ball St. game for this evening, Da' GOAT (who is obviously still a "buckling") was with Mrs. GOAT(she a GOAT herder by trade) today. Da' GOATS are introducing a new GOAT to the always expanding GOAT family and gender issues were being resolved today. A "doeling" is being added to the GOAT family!
The Pick for this evening were sent out to the GOAT faithful, but in case you missed them (and they are already posted)...
South Carolina +5.5 (BTH) (CASHED)
USC +12
Troy PK (F**KED us)
Oregon +10.5
A special congratulations is in order for faithful follower "J" as he cashed the ML today on the SC game! Solid work young "wether"!
1-0 ATS this year
4-1 Teasers this year (to include posted pre-season NFL games)
La Tech/Auburn will be broken down Friday followed by FSU/Miami on Saturday (This game is on Monday) and N. Texas/BAMA will be broken down on Monday as Da GOAT will have had a chance to see both Bama and N. Texas play and will have better knowledge of both squads and hopefully a more accurate breakdown of that game.
Enjoy and happy hunting,
Da GOAT
Thursday, September 3, 2009
Wednesday, September 2, 2009
First "Open Mic" Day
GOAT Faithful,
This is the first "Open Mic" session the GOAT is putting up. If there is a game that you the people want broken down let me know and I will look into the game and analysis it. I will then give you my thoughts and pick. If you want and I can help, then it's done, but don't get out of hand, this if for your help, not mine! Leave your game as a comment and I will check it out, one game per poster, please!
PICKS COMING TOMORROW!!!! Get the accounts ready, roughly 21 1/2 hrs. until OPEN SEASON!!!
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
This is the first "Open Mic" session the GOAT is putting up. If there is a game that you the people want broken down let me know and I will look into the game and analysis it. I will then give you my thoughts and pick. If you want and I can help, then it's done, but don't get out of hand, this if for your help, not mine! Leave your game as a comment and I will check it out, one game per poster, please!
PICKS COMING TOMORROW!!!! Get the accounts ready, roughly 21 1/2 hrs. until OPEN SEASON!!!
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Tuesday, September 1, 2009
Da Ducks vs. Da Broncos on the Smurf Turf
WHEN: Thursday Night
WHERE: Bronco's Stadium
CAPACITY: 30-34,000
"TALENT" Level: 7
NETWORK: ESPN
LINE: Boise St. +3.5
LEAN: Da Ducks+points, but skiddish on this one....
Last year Oregon took out the Boise St. Bronco's in Autzen stadium 37-32 for Boise St.'s only loss of the season last year. This year it may be a different story as the Ducks try to invade the smurf turf to take on the Bronco's for round II of a home and home series for these two high octane offensive programs.
Da DUCKS
First off, first year Head Coach's are 42% ATS all time in there first game, and that doesn't bowed well for Chip Kelly. He is starting his conquest as the leader of the the Ducks this year after Mike Bellotti stepped down to take the AD position. Kelly is very familiar with the program, calling the offense for many years below Bellotti and earning a #7 ranking in the country in offense averaging 484.9 yards a game last season. He has several weapons on the offense to maybe improve on that number and is returning 10 starters all together.
Jeremiah Masoli is back after throwing for over 1700 yards and 13 TD's before getting hurt. He is a smooth operator under pressure and can move around in the pocket if necessary. This may be good because the O-line has a combined 20 starts between all of them. Lagarrette Blount, the tater carrier, is back as well. He scampered for just over 1000 yards and 17 TD's last year. He will be the focal point in the back field this year getting 99% of the carries. He has great hands and can find open space out of the backfield, which maybe a good thing as Terence Scott, the Ducks leading receiver is gone. Picking up the slack is Ed Dickson who should give JM a great, big target on the outside and a nice route runner to boot. There is not a lot of depth at WR, so health is a big concern right no for Kelly at this position.
The defense should gel this year and will be tested early and often against the Bronco's. The LB's will be asked to anchor this unit and step up to stop the run as well as fall back into coverage if necessary. The Secondary will be key in this game, because Boise St. likes to chuck it around, and this unit was not a bright spot last year but improvement is on the horizon, and if they can create some big plays early, they can allow Kelly to rely on his offense to take care of business.
Da BRONCOS
Chris Peterson returns 13 starters, but the spotlight will be squarely on WAC Freshman of the Year Kellen Moore. Moore racked up some gaudy numbers last year as a freshman throwing for 3400 yards and 25 TD's. Moore lost his favorite target from a year ago in Jeremy Childs and 10th year senior Ian Johnson. Moore has 3 solid receivers coming back to help out with the spread attack and Jeremy Avery to do the work in the backfield. All that hinges on a starting front O-line that has several questions marks that WILL get tested against the Ducks. If Moore has to run for his life all night, then it may be a long night for the home team in "Tater Town".
The defense for Boise St. is STOUT (they don't play the toughest of schedules, but they do play nonetheless) ranking 3rd in the country last year averaging 12.6 points allowed last year. The most they gave up at home last year was 14 to Utah St....that gets a YO! The secondary is the heart of the defense with Kyle Wilson who will be a first round draft pick leading the way. They are a ball hawking hard hitting bunch, so Oregon better strap it up and come to play. The D-line was exposed against TCU last year giving up a HEFTY 275 yards rushing, and if they let Oregon run wild like that then they will get drug at their own place.
This should be a GREAT football game if you love lots of offense and very little defense. I like the Ducks right now, and that probably won't change, but the public is all over the Ducks and the public usually get slaughtered, so tread lightly.
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
WHERE: Bronco's Stadium
CAPACITY: 30-34,000
"TALENT" Level: 7
NETWORK: ESPN
LINE: Boise St. +3.5
LEAN: Da Ducks+points, but skiddish on this one....
Last year Oregon took out the Boise St. Bronco's in Autzen stadium 37-32 for Boise St.'s only loss of the season last year. This year it may be a different story as the Ducks try to invade the smurf turf to take on the Bronco's for round II of a home and home series for these two high octane offensive programs.
Da DUCKS
First off, first year Head Coach's are 42% ATS all time in there first game, and that doesn't bowed well for Chip Kelly. He is starting his conquest as the leader of the the Ducks this year after Mike Bellotti stepped down to take the AD position. Kelly is very familiar with the program, calling the offense for many years below Bellotti and earning a #7 ranking in the country in offense averaging 484.9 yards a game last season. He has several weapons on the offense to maybe improve on that number and is returning 10 starters all together.
Jeremiah Masoli is back after throwing for over 1700 yards and 13 TD's before getting hurt. He is a smooth operator under pressure and can move around in the pocket if necessary. This may be good because the O-line has a combined 20 starts between all of them. Lagarrette Blount, the tater carrier, is back as well. He scampered for just over 1000 yards and 17 TD's last year. He will be the focal point in the back field this year getting 99% of the carries. He has great hands and can find open space out of the backfield, which maybe a good thing as Terence Scott, the Ducks leading receiver is gone. Picking up the slack is Ed Dickson who should give JM a great, big target on the outside and a nice route runner to boot. There is not a lot of depth at WR, so health is a big concern right no for Kelly at this position.
The defense should gel this year and will be tested early and often against the Bronco's. The LB's will be asked to anchor this unit and step up to stop the run as well as fall back into coverage if necessary. The Secondary will be key in this game, because Boise St. likes to chuck it around, and this unit was not a bright spot last year but improvement is on the horizon, and if they can create some big plays early, they can allow Kelly to rely on his offense to take care of business.
Da BRONCOS
Chris Peterson returns 13 starters, but the spotlight will be squarely on WAC Freshman of the Year Kellen Moore. Moore racked up some gaudy numbers last year as a freshman throwing for 3400 yards and 25 TD's. Moore lost his favorite target from a year ago in Jeremy Childs and 10th year senior Ian Johnson. Moore has 3 solid receivers coming back to help out with the spread attack and Jeremy Avery to do the work in the backfield. All that hinges on a starting front O-line that has several questions marks that WILL get tested against the Ducks. If Moore has to run for his life all night, then it may be a long night for the home team in "Tater Town".
The defense for Boise St. is STOUT (they don't play the toughest of schedules, but they do play nonetheless) ranking 3rd in the country last year averaging 12.6 points allowed last year. The most they gave up at home last year was 14 to Utah St....that gets a YO! The secondary is the heart of the defense with Kyle Wilson who will be a first round draft pick leading the way. They are a ball hawking hard hitting bunch, so Oregon better strap it up and come to play. The D-line was exposed against TCU last year giving up a HEFTY 275 yards rushing, and if they let Oregon run wild like that then they will get drug at their own place.
This should be a GREAT football game if you love lots of offense and very little defense. I like the Ducks right now, and that probably won't change, but the public is all over the Ducks and the public usually get slaughtered, so tread lightly.
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Monday, August 31, 2009
A Little Slow right now....
GOAT faithful,
Not a lot going on right now, as far as games go. Got a break down on the Oregon/BSU game coming, but just not alot to talk about right now....But then there's those MEEEECHIGAN Wolverines that can't seem to stay out of the headlines here lately.
Now, I am going to back RAMROD here, because I think he is caught in a tight spot and is getting the raw end of the deal. If you want to tell me that these large programs and even smaller ones don't bend, twist, turn and out and out break rules when it comes to working out and practices, then you need to start following "Soccer" blogs. Every team does it, but MEEECHIGAN makes the news about it. Da GOAT firmly feels "The Vest" is responsible for this coming out in the news. Dirty bast*rd Tressel, is scared of the the mighty UM making a come back to the top of the Big 10/11. Ok, well probably not, but there comes a time when you need to leave a guy alone and let him do his thing. I busted on him for his 3 QB system, but I will still give him the benefit of the doubt, because he coaches UM not me. If he's as good as they think he is, then he will get them turned around, and if you watched the ESPN interview with that guy, it's hard not to become an instant RICHROD fan. Pure, raw emotion, and just a driving love for his kids and a program that so desperately needs someone with RICHROD's fire and enthusiasm. He was truly hurt by the accusations and probably didn't do anything wrong, or that any other programs either has done or is doing right this very minute. I am now a RICHROD fan, and hope he brings UM back to relevance in the coming years.
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Breakdowns will becoming in the next few days with the "PICKS" out by Thursday so we can BLOW UP the sportsbook spots!
Not a lot going on right now, as far as games go. Got a break down on the Oregon/BSU game coming, but just not alot to talk about right now....But then there's those MEEEECHIGAN Wolverines that can't seem to stay out of the headlines here lately.
Now, I am going to back RAMROD here, because I think he is caught in a tight spot and is getting the raw end of the deal. If you want to tell me that these large programs and even smaller ones don't bend, twist, turn and out and out break rules when it comes to working out and practices, then you need to start following "Soccer" blogs. Every team does it, but MEEECHIGAN makes the news about it. Da GOAT firmly feels "The Vest" is responsible for this coming out in the news. Dirty bast*rd Tressel, is scared of the the mighty UM making a come back to the top of the Big 10/11. Ok, well probably not, but there comes a time when you need to leave a guy alone and let him do his thing. I busted on him for his 3 QB system, but I will still give him the benefit of the doubt, because he coaches UM not me. If he's as good as they think he is, then he will get them turned around, and if you watched the ESPN interview with that guy, it's hard not to become an instant RICHROD fan. Pure, raw emotion, and just a driving love for his kids and a program that so desperately needs someone with RICHROD's fire and enthusiasm. He was truly hurt by the accusations and probably didn't do anything wrong, or that any other programs either has done or is doing right this very minute. I am now a RICHROD fan, and hope he brings UM back to relevance in the coming years.
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Breakdowns will becoming in the next few days with the "PICKS" out by Thursday so we can BLOW UP the sportsbook spots!
Saturday, August 29, 2009
Betting Lingo
Da GOAT has been requested to help out for fellow brethern to understand some of the acronyms and word/phrases that i use when refering to sports gaming. Here's what we got in no particular order:
Action - A sports betting wager of any kind, a bet. .
ATS - "Against the spread," taking points rather than betting with the spread and laying points in sports betting. (ATS) Ex. Rice is 7-6 ATS, meaning they COVERED 7 out 13 ATS
Buy (Points) - In sports betting, a player pays an additional price to receive half a point or more in his favor on a point spread game. Commonlyrefered to as "Da HOOK" (BTH)
Ex. True Line is -3, but we got -3.5 because we (Bought The Hook)
Chalk - The favorite.
Chalk Player - In sports gambling this person is someone who usually only plays the favored teams, rarely betting on the underdogs.
Cover - In sports betting this term means a pointspread win.
Data Mining- Searching through a large volume of statistics to find profitable situations to bet on in the future.
Dog - In sports betting, the team perceived to be most likely to lose.
Edge - A persons Advantage when it comes to sports betting.
Even Money - Sports betting term "Even money" is a bet whose odds are 1/1; a wager in which no vigorish or juice is laid.
Exposure - The maximum amount of money a sports book stands to lose on a game.
Favorite - In sports betting this it the team expected to win an event. The quoted odds reflect the extent to which the choice is favored.
First half bet - In sports betting this is a bet placed only on the first half of the game.
Half time bet - In sports betting this is a bet placed only on the second half of the game.
Handicapper - When it comes to sports betting a handicapper is one who studies, rates and wagers on sporting events and/or races. (Da GOAT)
Hedging - A sports betting term that means placing wagers on the opposite side in order to cut losses or guarantee a minimum amount of winnings. *You still lose the JUICE or VIG*
Hook - In sports betting a Hook is a half point added to football and basketball betting lines. You will see (BTH) of (H) on this site, which means (BUY THE HOOK) of (HOOK)
Juice - The bookmaker's commission on a losing bet, also known as "vig."
Laying the points - Betting the favorite by giving up points. (LTP)
Line - In sports betting, the current odds or point spread on a particular event.
Money line - odds expressed in terms of money. With money odds, whenever there is a minus (-) you lay that amount to win a hundred dollars, where there is a plus (+) you get that amount for every hundred dollars wagered. On this site I use (ML)
No action - A wager in sports betting in which no money is lost nor won. (NA)
Off the board - In sports betting this is a game on which the bookmaker will not accept action. (OTB)
Opening Line- The earliest line posted for a particular sporting event. (OL)
Over - In sports gambling the "over" is a sports bet in which the bettor guesses that the combined point total of two teams will be above a specified total. (O or OVER)
Parlay - In sports wagering, a bet with two or more teams in which all teams must win or cover for the bettor to win and receive higher payouts. ****If you take a 3 team parlay for instance and 1 team PUSH'S, then your parlay reverts to a 2 teamer****
Pick 'em - When neither team is favored. Also called a "pick" in sports betting terms.
Point spread - In sports betting this is the predicted scoring differential between two opponents as quoted by a sports book. (On here it's PK)
Prop (Proposition) Bet - In sports gambling this is a special wager offered by the sports book on unique and various topics. These wagers can be on sporting events, politics, and even trial outcomes. Ex. Tim Tebow O/U 400 yards passing vs. Ole Miss
Push - When the contest ends with no winner or loser for wagering purposes.
Sharp - When it comes to sports betting a sharp is a sophisticated or professional gambler.
(Da GOAT)
Spread - A spread in sports wagering is the predicted scoring differential between two opponents as quoted by a sports book. See "point spread."
Square - A novice when it comes to sports betting. (Coxieo), or (ROOK)
Straight bet - In sports betting this is a wager on just one team or horse. (SL)
Straight-up- Winning the game without any regards to the pointspread. (SU)
Taking the points - When it comes to sports gambling this means betting the underdog and its advantage in the point spread.
Teaser - A teaser is a special type of parlay in sports betting in which you adjust the point spread or total of each individual play. The price of moving the point spread (teasing) is lower pay off odds winning wagers. **Usually in 6, 6.5, 7, 10, 14 point increments***
Tie - In sports betting a tie is a wager in which no money is lost nor won because the teams' scores were equal to the number of points in the given line.
*Watch this because some books will still collect the VIG*
Total - The combined amount of runs, points or goals scored by both teams during the game, including the overtime. (O/U)
Tout - Someone who sells their expertise on sports wagering. I AM NOT THIS GUY
Trends- Using the past to predict the future focusing in on only one team.
Under - When it comes to sports betting a under is a wager in which the bettor guesses that the total points scored by two teams will be under a certain figure.
Underdog - The team perceived to be most likely to lose. Also known as the "dog" in sports betting terminology.
Value - In sports betting value means getting the best odds on a wagering proposition; the highest possible edge.
Vig - The bookmaker's commission on a losing bet; also known as juice in sports betting.
Wager- To risk money on the outcome of an event. Wise guy - A wise guy is the sports gambling term for a well-informed or knowledgeable handicapper or bettor. (JUICE)
This should help every one out, if not let me know, and I will help you out!
BTW- Tonight one small play:
San Diego +10
Baltimore +10
Tease
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Action - A sports betting wager of any kind, a bet. .
ATS - "Against the spread," taking points rather than betting with the spread and laying points in sports betting. (ATS) Ex. Rice is 7-6 ATS, meaning they COVERED 7 out 13 ATS
Buy (Points) - In sports betting, a player pays an additional price to receive half a point or more in his favor on a point spread game. Commonlyrefered to as "Da HOOK" (BTH)
Ex. True Line is -3, but we got -3.5 because we (Bought The Hook)
Chalk - The favorite.
Chalk Player - In sports gambling this person is someone who usually only plays the favored teams, rarely betting on the underdogs.
Cover - In sports betting this term means a pointspread win.
Data Mining- Searching through a large volume of statistics to find profitable situations to bet on in the future.
Dog - In sports betting, the team perceived to be most likely to lose.
Edge - A persons Advantage when it comes to sports betting.
Even Money - Sports betting term "Even money" is a bet whose odds are 1/1; a wager in which no vigorish or juice is laid.
Exposure - The maximum amount of money a sports book stands to lose on a game.
Favorite - In sports betting this it the team expected to win an event. The quoted odds reflect the extent to which the choice is favored.
First half bet - In sports betting this is a bet placed only on the first half of the game.
Half time bet - In sports betting this is a bet placed only on the second half of the game.
Handicapper - When it comes to sports betting a handicapper is one who studies, rates and wagers on sporting events and/or races. (Da GOAT)
Hedging - A sports betting term that means placing wagers on the opposite side in order to cut losses or guarantee a minimum amount of winnings. *You still lose the JUICE or VIG*
Hook - In sports betting a Hook is a half point added to football and basketball betting lines. You will see (BTH) of (H) on this site, which means (BUY THE HOOK) of (HOOK)
Juice - The bookmaker's commission on a losing bet, also known as "vig."
Laying the points - Betting the favorite by giving up points. (LTP)
Line - In sports betting, the current odds or point spread on a particular event.
Money line - odds expressed in terms of money. With money odds, whenever there is a minus (-) you lay that amount to win a hundred dollars, where there is a plus (+) you get that amount for every hundred dollars wagered. On this site I use (ML)
No action - A wager in sports betting in which no money is lost nor won. (NA)
Off the board - In sports betting this is a game on which the bookmaker will not accept action. (OTB)
Opening Line- The earliest line posted for a particular sporting event. (OL)
Over - In sports gambling the "over" is a sports bet in which the bettor guesses that the combined point total of two teams will be above a specified total. (O or OVER)
Parlay - In sports wagering, a bet with two or more teams in which all teams must win or cover for the bettor to win and receive higher payouts. ****If you take a 3 team parlay for instance and 1 team PUSH'S, then your parlay reverts to a 2 teamer****
Pick 'em - When neither team is favored. Also called a "pick" in sports betting terms.
Point spread - In sports betting this is the predicted scoring differential between two opponents as quoted by a sports book. (On here it's PK)
Prop (Proposition) Bet - In sports gambling this is a special wager offered by the sports book on unique and various topics. These wagers can be on sporting events, politics, and even trial outcomes. Ex. Tim Tebow O/U 400 yards passing vs. Ole Miss
Push - When the contest ends with no winner or loser for wagering purposes.
Sharp - When it comes to sports betting a sharp is a sophisticated or professional gambler.
(Da GOAT)
Spread - A spread in sports wagering is the predicted scoring differential between two opponents as quoted by a sports book. See "point spread."
Square - A novice when it comes to sports betting. (Coxieo), or (ROOK)
Straight bet - In sports betting this is a wager on just one team or horse. (SL)
Straight-up- Winning the game without any regards to the pointspread. (SU)
Taking the points - When it comes to sports gambling this means betting the underdog and its advantage in the point spread.
Teaser - A teaser is a special type of parlay in sports betting in which you adjust the point spread or total of each individual play. The price of moving the point spread (teasing) is lower pay off odds winning wagers. **Usually in 6, 6.5, 7, 10, 14 point increments***
Tie - In sports betting a tie is a wager in which no money is lost nor won because the teams' scores were equal to the number of points in the given line.
*Watch this because some books will still collect the VIG*
Total - The combined amount of runs, points or goals scored by both teams during the game, including the overtime. (O/U)
Tout - Someone who sells their expertise on sports wagering. I AM NOT THIS GUY
Trends- Using the past to predict the future focusing in on only one team.
Under - When it comes to sports betting a under is a wager in which the bettor guesses that the total points scored by two teams will be under a certain figure.
Underdog - The team perceived to be most likely to lose. Also known as the "dog" in sports betting terminology.
Value - In sports betting value means getting the best odds on a wagering proposition; the highest possible edge.
Vig - The bookmaker's commission on a losing bet; also known as juice in sports betting.
Wager- To risk money on the outcome of an event. Wise guy - A wise guy is the sports gambling term for a well-informed or knowledgeable handicapper or bettor. (JUICE)
This should help every one out, if not let me know, and I will help you out!
BTW- Tonight one small play:
San Diego +10
Baltimore +10
Tease
3-0 in pre-season looking to build on!
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Da GOAT'S "Early Leans" with analysis
Good evening all, hope all is well. First and foremost I want to give a "shout out" and my "warmest congratulations" to Aplington-Parkersburg High School Football Fighting Falcons. In their first game since the Tragic Death of Head football Coach Ed Thomas, The falcons dismantled rival Dike-New Hartford 30-14. It was a great statement game for a team and town that is continuing to cope with the death of a legendary coach and a devastating tornado that both ripped the little town apart. This team had to mature very quickly and will be carrying the weight of a town on their respective shoulders this year. As the town rallies around this team this year, Da' Goat wishes them the very best this year and for many to come. They have and will do this small town and this great nation very proud this year regardless of their record.
Secondly, Da GOAT had the distinguished opportunity to check out Michael Vick's return to the NFL last night from the Lower Level 50 yard line at Lincoln Financial Field. Vick did good for his first game back going 4-4 on just 6 plays, but it was more then just the stats last night. It was the acceptance of an entire city of a man who just 18 short months ago sat in a 6x10 with 3 squares because he had brain malfunction or a serious lack of judgement, take your pick. To hear the entire stadium chant "Put Vick in" and giving him a standing ovation every time he went in was just fantastic. Now, I don't condone Vick's actions by any means, but I do believe in second chances. Philly has given him a second shot at getting his life back and I hope that he takes full advantage of it. God speed Mr. Vick, and I hope you get to start in Philly this year and blow it up, because I picked you up on my fantasy team, so don't disappoint.
Now, on to what the masses have been waiting on...
Like:
Kentucky -14.5
UTEP -7.5
Bowling Green +7
South Carolina +4.5(H)
Love:
Iowa St. -13.5
Wake Forest -1(H)
Central Michigan +14.5(H)
One Night Stand:
*TEASE*
Nevada +21
Illinois PK
Oregon +12
Bama PK
Want to marry:
USC ML
OSU ML
PENN ST. ML
CLEMSON ML
NEBRASKA ML
OKLAHOMA ML
TEXAS ML
(Little or no value, but a win is a win)
Line to watch:
Minnesota -6.5 (This one is interesting and may be worth firing on)
Now, normally Da GOAT is firing away the first week of the season and my record opening weekend speaks for itself, but this year is a little different. I don't see "That Game" or a true "Vegas Whiff" that is worth firing on right now. Listed above are my "LEANS" and none of those games are "Locked In". I don't think a free for all picking 100 games is worth it, and I am going to try to focus on just a few a week that look to have great value. I will be breaking down a couple of these games later on starting with the SC/NCSU game tonight, and the rest in the following days.
NCSU/USC
LINE: NCSU -4
LEAN: SOUTH CAROLINA +4.5 (BTH)
Location: Carter Finley Stadium
Seating: 65,000
"Talent" Meter (1-10): 6.5
Game Date: 9/3/09
Game Time: 7:30
Network: ESPN
This is an interesting match-up to open up the season for both of these schools again this year. We all know what happened last year, when Chris Smelley, the QB for the Cocks threw 137 interceptions and the Cocks still blanked NCSU 34-0. Alot of people are talking about the NCSU "resurgence" this year with "All World" QB Russell Wilson leading the charge. Tony Baker is back after replacing both knee's, and a good WR corp. to chuck the tater around too. The defense is experienced and should progress as the season does this year, HOWEVER.....
They are still squaring off against an SEC team. The beating last year was not a "fluke" as most think it was, and I kinda see this game like the "BAMA/CLEMSON" game last year, hell, even the line is the same! And there are some GLARING stats that just stick out like a sore thumb to me...
Steve Spurrier since taking the reins at UF, is 21-0 in openers?!?! The guy has not lost an opener since Duke, and I can't verify that he even lost then! As it stands the guy DOES NOT LOSE his opener. Some might say, well they open with patsies, and some of them were, but a lot of them were conference games both home and away to open. The "Ole Ball Coach" is "DA GOAT" to start the season, but since he's been at USC, the wheels tend to come off soon after they win the opener. Further, as much as everyone thinks that USC was that bad last year, a little closer look at their schedule might surprise you.
All five of their losses were to Ranked Bowl teams including Vandy, Georgia, LSU, and Florida. Now outside of UF, they lost each game by 7 or less. If Garcia has matured even the slightest bit over the spring and the COCKS don't get in trouble early, then they can easily cover this number, if not win the game outright.
Ok, enough for this evening....if you agree of disagree, leave a comment and we'll swap ignorance over it!
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Secondly, Da GOAT had the distinguished opportunity to check out Michael Vick's return to the NFL last night from the Lower Level 50 yard line at Lincoln Financial Field. Vick did good for his first game back going 4-4 on just 6 plays, but it was more then just the stats last night. It was the acceptance of an entire city of a man who just 18 short months ago sat in a 6x10 with 3 squares because he had brain malfunction or a serious lack of judgement, take your pick. To hear the entire stadium chant "Put Vick in" and giving him a standing ovation every time he went in was just fantastic. Now, I don't condone Vick's actions by any means, but I do believe in second chances. Philly has given him a second shot at getting his life back and I hope that he takes full advantage of it. God speed Mr. Vick, and I hope you get to start in Philly this year and blow it up, because I picked you up on my fantasy team, so don't disappoint.
Now, on to what the masses have been waiting on...
Like:
Kentucky -14.5
UTEP -7.5
Bowling Green +7
South Carolina +4.5(H)
Love:
Iowa St. -13.5
Wake Forest -1(H)
Central Michigan +14.5(H)
One Night Stand:
*TEASE*
Nevada +21
Illinois PK
Oregon +12
Bama PK
Want to marry:
USC ML
OSU ML
PENN ST. ML
CLEMSON ML
NEBRASKA ML
OKLAHOMA ML
TEXAS ML
(Little or no value, but a win is a win)
Line to watch:
Minnesota -6.5 (This one is interesting and may be worth firing on)
Now, normally Da GOAT is firing away the first week of the season and my record opening weekend speaks for itself, but this year is a little different. I don't see "That Game" or a true "Vegas Whiff" that is worth firing on right now. Listed above are my "LEANS" and none of those games are "Locked In". I don't think a free for all picking 100 games is worth it, and I am going to try to focus on just a few a week that look to have great value. I will be breaking down a couple of these games later on starting with the SC/NCSU game tonight, and the rest in the following days.
NCSU/USC
LINE: NCSU -4
LEAN: SOUTH CAROLINA +4.5 (BTH)
Location: Carter Finley Stadium
Seating: 65,000
"Talent" Meter (1-10): 6.5
Game Date: 9/3/09
Game Time: 7:30
Network: ESPN
This is an interesting match-up to open up the season for both of these schools again this year. We all know what happened last year, when Chris Smelley, the QB for the Cocks threw 137 interceptions and the Cocks still blanked NCSU 34-0. Alot of people are talking about the NCSU "resurgence" this year with "All World" QB Russell Wilson leading the charge. Tony Baker is back after replacing both knee's, and a good WR corp. to chuck the tater around too. The defense is experienced and should progress as the season does this year, HOWEVER.....
They are still squaring off against an SEC team. The beating last year was not a "fluke" as most think it was, and I kinda see this game like the "BAMA/CLEMSON" game last year, hell, even the line is the same! And there are some GLARING stats that just stick out like a sore thumb to me...
Steve Spurrier since taking the reins at UF, is 21-0 in openers?!?! The guy has not lost an opener since Duke, and I can't verify that he even lost then! As it stands the guy DOES NOT LOSE his opener. Some might say, well they open with patsies, and some of them were, but a lot of them were conference games both home and away to open. The "Ole Ball Coach" is "DA GOAT" to start the season, but since he's been at USC, the wheels tend to come off soon after they win the opener. Further, as much as everyone thinks that USC was that bad last year, a little closer look at their schedule might surprise you.
All five of their losses were to Ranked Bowl teams including Vandy, Georgia, LSU, and Florida. Now outside of UF, they lost each game by 7 or less. If Garcia has matured even the slightest bit over the spring and the COCKS don't get in trouble early, then they can easily cover this number, if not win the game outright.
Ok, enough for this evening....if you agree of disagree, leave a comment and we'll swap ignorance over it!
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Da GOAT'S "Sleeper Picks"
Welcome All….In true GOAT fashion, it’s time to look at some of the teams that I feel are “Sleeper” picks if you will. I know, some of you will think to yourself, “I already said that”, but you didn’t, so I am. Here we go….
SEC
Arkansas
This year may be the year that the Razorback faithful have their reason for hiring the “One and Done” Offensive mad scientist known as Bobby Petrino. Ryan Mallet is eligible this year and has a ton of talent and an absolute cannon on his shoulder. He is surrounded by talent at RB, with returning Michael Smith and Dennis Johnson back. A host of WR’s including Burner D.J. Williams leading the way, are all set to make big plays. The Defense is going to be very solid with a slew of returning starters. Of course, Da GOAT doesn’t think that Arkansas will win 9-10 games, but ATS, they will be a GREAT BET! Having to go ON THE ROAD to face Texas A&M, Alabama, Florida, Ole Miss, and LSU and having Auburn, USC and Georgia coming to Fayetteville, AR makes this schedule easily the toughest in the country. So, I do think Arkansas is a nice “Sleeper” pick but not to win the conference or even 10 games, but they will surprise some folks this year, and don’t be surprised if you don’t see them on the Da GOAT’s card early and often as they should be DOGS a lot at home.
Big 12
I would take Oklahoma St. here, but they are getting noticed, so Da GOAT chooses:
ROCK, CHAULK JAYHAWKS! Kansas
Todd Reesing is back to run an offense that might be as good if not better then the Jayhawks team that recently won the Orange Bowl. Both RB’s and a great WR corp. should allow Reesing to put up gaudy stats again this year. Same problem as with all the Big 12 team, no defense, but in the BIG 12 conference it’s all about who has the ball last anyway. (Texas fans should note this). Of course, Kansas has a glaring 0-9 against Texas, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech, and 7-3 against Mizzou and KSU. I look for the Jayhawks to probably win 8-9 ball games this year with the best game on the schedule being a date Nov. 14th with the Nebraska Corn Huskers where they look to score 100 a piece. Watch the Jayhawks this year as they may not have A LOT of value ATS, but the O/U numbers ought to be the TICKET this year.
ACC
Everyone is harping that “NCSU” is the sleeper pick in the ACC….NOT Da GOAT…Not this time!
Georgia Tech (With honorable mention going to UNC and Wake Forest)
Paul Johnson’s offense was a hit last year in the ACC and overall the Jackets went 9-4 overall last year. 9 offensive starters return this year with “Kid Dynamite” Josh Nesbitt and Jonathan Dwyer back in the mix and leading the way. GT was hitting off at a 273 yrd. Clip last year on the ground and it looks even more promising this year. Watch out ACC, this team is for real. Opposing teams are going to have to light up the scoreboard this year to keep up with Tech, but their stout defense will have something to say about that, because they are a talented bunch. GT has to go to UM, FSU, and Vandy, with Clemson, UNC, VT and Georgia coming to ATL. This team will be a team to watch out for because of they get on a roll, they will silently be in the Top 10 very quickly and should be a good bet ATS.
Big East
West Virginia
I actually like Cincy in this spot, but WV has caught my eye. They have a pitiful schedule and with some “Devine” intervention, they may slip up and win the Big East crown this year. Pat White leaving, on paper, creates a large void in the offense, or so it would appear. However, remember the name Jarrett Brown, because you will be hearing it often. He is a great, smooth QB that should fit right in to the WV scheme and coupled with Noel Devine, they should be a good tandem that will anchor this offense. Leading receiver Alric Arnett is back and looks to make a lot of plays for Brown which should open up some lanes for Devine if the defenses commit to stopping the pass. The offensive line is a new fresh bunch, but if they can block or hold somebody for long enough, Devine will take it the distance every time. Back to Back games with East Carolina at home and then going to Auburn, we will find out early if the Da GOAT has this team figured out.
Mountain West
TCU
After Utah smacked around Alabama last year in the Sugar Bowl, this conference started to get noticed. Da GOAT has always kept his collective eye on this conference because of Air Force, and BYU. They are great ATS. But this year, the state of Texas might have 2 teams in the BCS this year, provided ND shits the bed and they don’t get the at large bid. TCU is my pick coming out of the “Monster West”. With no Oklahoma on the schedule, and getting Utah at home, they might not have that tough of a course going undefeated this year. Gary Patterson is a genius and with only 8 return starters on this squad, Patterson will have to dig deep into his “Gray Matter” to figure out how to go undefeated with a group of untested young guns like they have. Andy Dalton is back however, and he was very efficient last year in running the offense, but will need to step his game up this year and be a leader, or this team will burn in flames.
Big 10
Who Cares…… Penn St. and Ohio State and then the rest of the worst from this conference.
However Illinois is the pick to be “third best” in this conference. That’s all the time I have for this conference until they prove they can win in big games, they are not worth my time.
Pac-10
Da fighting Beava’s of Oregon St.
Big problems on the defense really scares Da GOAT and does not make this pick appear to be a good one, but if they can “score more points than the other team” then OSU is they way to go. Everyone is talking about CAL, USC and Oregon, but OSU is flying under the radar at the moment. A lot of that is because of the defense of OSU losing the entire secondary and D-line. If they can find some talent to fill the gaps and knock down some passes, then they might be able to rely on their offense to beat people. I believe Morevao will be ready by the season opener, and both Rodgers are back to carry the tater this year. The road schedule is brutal, having to go to USC, CAL, ‘Zona St and Oregon, so if they plan on making it a good year they better smack people around in Reser Stadium this year.
That’s all I have folk, you may or not agree…so voice your opinion/comment and let’s discuss it.
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
SEC
Arkansas
This year may be the year that the Razorback faithful have their reason for hiring the “One and Done” Offensive mad scientist known as Bobby Petrino. Ryan Mallet is eligible this year and has a ton of talent and an absolute cannon on his shoulder. He is surrounded by talent at RB, with returning Michael Smith and Dennis Johnson back. A host of WR’s including Burner D.J. Williams leading the way, are all set to make big plays. The Defense is going to be very solid with a slew of returning starters. Of course, Da GOAT doesn’t think that Arkansas will win 9-10 games, but ATS, they will be a GREAT BET! Having to go ON THE ROAD to face Texas A&M, Alabama, Florida, Ole Miss, and LSU and having Auburn, USC and Georgia coming to Fayetteville, AR makes this schedule easily the toughest in the country. So, I do think Arkansas is a nice “Sleeper” pick but not to win the conference or even 10 games, but they will surprise some folks this year, and don’t be surprised if you don’t see them on the Da GOAT’s card early and often as they should be DOGS a lot at home.
Big 12
I would take Oklahoma St. here, but they are getting noticed, so Da GOAT chooses:
ROCK, CHAULK JAYHAWKS! Kansas
Todd Reesing is back to run an offense that might be as good if not better then the Jayhawks team that recently won the Orange Bowl. Both RB’s and a great WR corp. should allow Reesing to put up gaudy stats again this year. Same problem as with all the Big 12 team, no defense, but in the BIG 12 conference it’s all about who has the ball last anyway. (Texas fans should note this). Of course, Kansas has a glaring 0-9 against Texas, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech, and 7-3 against Mizzou and KSU. I look for the Jayhawks to probably win 8-9 ball games this year with the best game on the schedule being a date Nov. 14th with the Nebraska Corn Huskers where they look to score 100 a piece. Watch the Jayhawks this year as they may not have A LOT of value ATS, but the O/U numbers ought to be the TICKET this year.
ACC
Everyone is harping that “NCSU” is the sleeper pick in the ACC….NOT Da GOAT…Not this time!
Georgia Tech (With honorable mention going to UNC and Wake Forest)
Paul Johnson’s offense was a hit last year in the ACC and overall the Jackets went 9-4 overall last year. 9 offensive starters return this year with “Kid Dynamite” Josh Nesbitt and Jonathan Dwyer back in the mix and leading the way. GT was hitting off at a 273 yrd. Clip last year on the ground and it looks even more promising this year. Watch out ACC, this team is for real. Opposing teams are going to have to light up the scoreboard this year to keep up with Tech, but their stout defense will have something to say about that, because they are a talented bunch. GT has to go to UM, FSU, and Vandy, with Clemson, UNC, VT and Georgia coming to ATL. This team will be a team to watch out for because of they get on a roll, they will silently be in the Top 10 very quickly and should be a good bet ATS.
Big East
West Virginia
I actually like Cincy in this spot, but WV has caught my eye. They have a pitiful schedule and with some “Devine” intervention, they may slip up and win the Big East crown this year. Pat White leaving, on paper, creates a large void in the offense, or so it would appear. However, remember the name Jarrett Brown, because you will be hearing it often. He is a great, smooth QB that should fit right in to the WV scheme and coupled with Noel Devine, they should be a good tandem that will anchor this offense. Leading receiver Alric Arnett is back and looks to make a lot of plays for Brown which should open up some lanes for Devine if the defenses commit to stopping the pass. The offensive line is a new fresh bunch, but if they can block or hold somebody for long enough, Devine will take it the distance every time. Back to Back games with East Carolina at home and then going to Auburn, we will find out early if the Da GOAT has this team figured out.
Mountain West
TCU
After Utah smacked around Alabama last year in the Sugar Bowl, this conference started to get noticed. Da GOAT has always kept his collective eye on this conference because of Air Force, and BYU. They are great ATS. But this year, the state of Texas might have 2 teams in the BCS this year, provided ND shits the bed and they don’t get the at large bid. TCU is my pick coming out of the “Monster West”. With no Oklahoma on the schedule, and getting Utah at home, they might not have that tough of a course going undefeated this year. Gary Patterson is a genius and with only 8 return starters on this squad, Patterson will have to dig deep into his “Gray Matter” to figure out how to go undefeated with a group of untested young guns like they have. Andy Dalton is back however, and he was very efficient last year in running the offense, but will need to step his game up this year and be a leader, or this team will burn in flames.
Big 10
Who Cares…… Penn St. and Ohio State and then the rest of the worst from this conference.
However Illinois is the pick to be “third best” in this conference. That’s all the time I have for this conference until they prove they can win in big games, they are not worth my time.
Pac-10
Da fighting Beava’s of Oregon St.
Big problems on the defense really scares Da GOAT and does not make this pick appear to be a good one, but if they can “score more points than the other team” then OSU is they way to go. Everyone is talking about CAL, USC and Oregon, but OSU is flying under the radar at the moment. A lot of that is because of the defense of OSU losing the entire secondary and D-line. If they can find some talent to fill the gaps and knock down some passes, then they might be able to rely on their offense to beat people. I believe Morevao will be ready by the season opener, and both Rodgers are back to carry the tater this year. The road schedule is brutal, having to go to USC, CAL, ‘Zona St and Oregon, so if they plan on making it a good year they better smack people around in Reser Stadium this year.
That’s all I have folk, you may or not agree…so voice your opinion/comment and let’s discuss it.
Enjoy,
Da GOAT
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
